This has been another week of interesting data related to Coronavirus (COVID-19) here in Howard County and in Maryland. Below are the weekly tracking charts I have been working on for some time now and some comments on the data this week. If interested in the data behind the charts I have this handy Google Sheet with the specifics of the data noted on the graphs in this article.

Here is my quick overall summary: Most numbers were a little lower this past week (except “beds in use” which was significantly lower) but it is too early to say that things are tracking in that direction now. To be honest as I look over the numbers over the past four weeks things seem pretty stable across the board. Stable is good…but downward trends is the goal.

Here is the weekly tracking charts looking at the total number of reported cases in Maryland and Howard County:

Note – The number of new cases over the past week dropped a bit from last week…but that might have a little bit to do with testing numbers over the past week (see charts below). Still it is nice to see the numbers reduce after five weeks of increasing numbers at the state level.

Here are the weekly tracking charts of the number of deaths in Maryland and in Howard County (I still believe that this should be a critical metric to watch closely going forward):

Note – The number of deaths due to COVID-19 seems to be somewhat consistent over the past month and a half. There did appear to be a slight uptick in the numbers in the previous two weeks but this week it lowered a bit at the state level. I will continue to watch this metric closely.

Here is the weekly tracking chart of hospitalizations (“ever hospitalized”) in Maryland:

Note – Hospitalizations was down a little this past week…and that now is just the trend of up and down numbers over the past four weeks.

Here is the weekly tracking numbers for new ICU and Acute Hospital Beds for COVID-19, Currently in Use:

Note – this tracking has been noted as critical for Maryland. We finally saw the number of beds in use drop over the past week after three weeks of increasing beds in use across the state. Hopefully this will start a new trend of lower numbers on this metric.

Howard County numbers reduced again this week (now reporting only 10 total beds in use due to COVID-19). This is the lowest number reported on my weekly charts since I began these reports. This is great news this week.

Here is the weekly tracking of number of people tested weekly across the state (looking at positive cases and people testing negative):

Here is information about testing from the state today: The statewide positivity rate is now 4.03% – last week the number reported was 4.47%. Howard County is being reported at 3.29% – last week the number reported was 3.18%.

Note – Testing (as I am tracking it by persons testing positive and persons testing negative) was lower this week than the past couple of weeks. This might account for the lower number of new cases (see above). The percent positive (of people) dropped back below the 6% number this past week.

Overall percent positive testing numbers reported by the state are lower (that is a good thing) but the Howard County numbers are a little bit higher this past week (while still being below the state level).

I will continue to track and report this data the best I can…and I hope you find the weekly data even more informative than the daily reported data from various entities (including me).

Here are some articles on the blog over the past week that might be of interest:

Here are important links with data on Coronavirus (COVID-19) numbers:

Here is a site to watch for information on Maryland cases: https://phpa.health.maryland.gov/Pages/Novel-coronavirus.aspx

Here is the site to keep an eye on in Howard County for updates: https://www.howardcountymd.gov/Departments/Health/MM-Alerts-and-Recalls

This is a good site to keep up to date with the latest coronavirus updates worldwide:  (Worldometer) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ or (Johns Hopkins) https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html.

I have a Google spreadsheet for tracking some of the daily Maryland and Howard County numbers and my weekly numbers:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OVZO0oIaEC__KXZ9LwtnhawO1NhdqE78VJ9Hd5LCQ0k/edit?usp=sharing

Scott E

Note: Daily COVID-19 updates going forward will happen on Monday, Wednesday and Friday (unless something significant needs to be reported on the other days) during the week. Weekly weekend charts will continue to happen when there are significant items to review.

4 COMMENTS

  1. Why is Johns Hopkins showing Md having a positive rate of 5.71% while the State of Md is showing 4.03% ?? For a number of weeks JH is showing a significantly higher positive rate, any thoughts?

    • John Hopkins might be looking at the data by people (like I am in the charts) instead of the total number of overall tests….but I can not say for sure. Interesting the number you mention is really close to my number in the testing chart in the article.

      • Thank you Scott,
        There should be clear spelling of the formulae used to calculate these extremely critical indicators, and there should be an uniformed formulae for such calculations. When JH is publishing their numbers, they refer them to the WHO 5% reference point, hence how is WHO calculating this?
        Very confusing and prone to manipulation.

        • I agree…I hope the numbers I am using for testing are clear…if not completely in the document in the Google sheet data (link provided in the article).

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