Primary Numbers Breakdown – Part 9 – 2018 Maryland State Delegate District 13

This is my ninth article in this series on primary numbers breakdown…my original plan was to write about the Senate District 13 race…but then I remembered that Guzzone does not have an opponent…so there is nothing to really look at in that race…so I switch directions and went with a review of the Maryland State Delegate in District 13 race. You can see the results from the 2018 primary here. Below are some numbers from the past few elections for this office:

2010 Primary and General Elections:

2014 Primary and General Elections:

2018 Primary Election:

Comments:

  • This race is all about Team 13. The delegate team has changed over the past few elections but they have not faced a serious challenge in the primary or general elections between 2010 and 2018.
  • Yates is giving it another shot in 2018 (he ran in 2014 in this race). Yates received the most votes of any GOP candidate in the general in 2014.

Prediction: (I am going to note Strong, Lean or Even based on my best guess at this point in the race).

I am calling this Strong Team 13 (Atterbeary, Pendergrass & Terrasa) right now. This may be one of the easiest early predictions I make in this series of posts.

I will be breaking down additional numbers in other races in the following days / weeks. So stay tuned and look for more data soon. I have much to process and report out on for a while…and more early predictions to provide.

Scott E

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