Baker and Jealous Tied In Latest Polling – June 10th

Another poll is released…and again it is looking like a two person race in the Democratic Primary for Governor. This was reported via the Baltimore Sun today:

Former NAACP chief Ben Jealous and Prince George’s County Executive Rushern Baker have emerged from the crowded Democratic field as the front-runners in the primary race to be Maryland’s next governor.

Baker and Jealous are tied with 16 percent of the vote each in the seven-way contest, according to a new poll of registered likely voters for The Baltimore Sun and University of Baltimore.

Each has three times the support of their closest competitor, and even though a huge swath of voters is undecided, political analysts say it is unlikely the lower-tier candidates could bridge that gap with the election less than three weeks away.

“It’s very likely it’s going to be one of these two leaders who wins,” said Steve Raabe, president of OpinionWorks, the Annapolis-based firm that conducted the poll. The survey of 500 likely Maryland Democratic primary voters was conducted by telephone May 29 to June 6. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Though Baker and Jealous lead the pack, most Democratic voters are disengaged from the contest and have not made up their minds about the June 26 primary election, the poll showed.

Forty-four percent of voters say they are undecided, and 57 percent say they have paid “only a little” attention to race. Of voters who have settled on a candidate, more than half said they might change their minds.

Four Democratic candidates are currently statistically tied in the single digits.

Former Montgomery County Council member Valerie Ervin, who has spent weeks unsuccessfully trying to pressure state election officials to amend the ballot after the death of her former running mate Kevin Kamentez, has support from 5 percent of voters.

Kamentez’s name will remain at the top of the ticket, but a vote for the late Baltimore County executive will count for Ervin.

Three candidates — state Sen. Richard S. Madaleno of Montgomery County, former Venable law firm chairman Jim Shea and former Michelle Obama policy adviser Krish Vignarajah — each have 4 percent of the vote.

Tech entrepreneur Alec Ross, meanwhile, was in seventh place with 1 percent.

Read the full article here: http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-dem-primary-poll-20180608-story.html

To me the big number here is the 44% that say they are still undecided. That is a HUGE number this late in the game. The candidate that can get a big chuck of those voters between now and the 26th will probably end up winning this primary. Do not count anyone out yet.

Governor Hogan has to love each of these polls…he is doing well in all of them. This one is no different:

Early voting starts in 4 days…get to know these candidates and vote for the one you think is best.

Scott E

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