2016 Howard County Voting Data – Part 2

politics1

Part two of my analysis looks at the voter turnout by party in Howard County. Here were our numbers for the 2016 election:

Howard County Registered Voters Early Votes Election Day Total Turnout %
Democrats

102,742

35,383

41,603

76,986

74.79%

Republicans

56,959

13,023

29,946

42,969

75.36%

Independents

44,060

10,139

18,418

28,557

64.66%

Green

473

105

175

280

59.20%

Libertarians

1,120

198

492

690

61.52%

Other

1,891

468

651

1119

59.07%

Totals

207245

59316

91285

150601

72.67%

*Turnout Totals do not include Provisional or Absentee Voters

Observations:

  • Democrats in Howard County came out strong during early voting (34.30% of eligible voters cast votes) but election day was not as impressive as they only managed a 40.49% turnout.
  • Democrats made up 51.12% of all votes cast in Howard County in 2016 (but only 45.57% on election day).
  • I picked on Republicans during early voting for not coming out in strong numbers (22.79%) but wow did they make up for it on election day (52.57%) which gave them a higher percentage turnout than Democrats in the end.

Some of my take aways from the numbers:

  • Howard County is a very Blue county here in Maryland.
  • Democrats should be happy with total vote numbers but should be a little concerned about how the numbers turned on them on election day.
  • Republicans should be happy with the total turnout percentage, especially what they got on election day but should be concerned about the numbers with the upcoming County Executive race in 2018. On the upside for them, Kittleman remains popular in Howard County and this can help offset some of those numbers.
  • Things that will shape the 2018 local elections in Howard County:
    • Who runs as the Democratic candidate against Larry Hogan
    • Who runs as the Democratic candidate against Allan Kittleman
    • How strong will the candidates be that run for the four open County Council seats

That is it for today…more data coming soon

Scott E

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Vote daily through Nov 25th

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